Newt Gingrich is gaining lot of momentum after his strong victory in South Carolina with the help of the Conservative Evangelical groups.
Now in Florida the trump card will be the Latino votes with large percentage of Cuban, Portrico and south America constituents many registered as Republicans.
Thursday, January 26, 2012
Monday, January 23, 2012
Monday, January 9, 2012
six pack of Republican Candidates
January 9
The republican race is still six people and the trend now is to knock Mitt Romney out.
Rick Perry is for show and promoting the Tea Party agenda and dogma. Mitt Romney portrays himself as a cool man and above the fray. Rick Santorum is rising from the dead and showing lot of momentum and energy as relatively young man. Mitt Romney is not blessed by many quarters of the Republican party and unhappy because in their view he is not very orthodox conservative.
Iran is causing lot of worries to Obama and western Europe because of her suspicious neuclear program some of the facilities are hidden under high mountains.
MANCHESTER, N.H.--The polls heading into primary day in New Hampshire show a slight decline in support for Mitt Romney over the last several days, but not on a scale that puts his likely victory in any jeopardy.
If Romney's distance to his closest competitors remains what it has been in the latest polls, the Associated Press and the television networks will likely be able to project Romney the winner at 8 p.m. ET, when the last voters in the state cast their ballots.
Most of the attention on Tuesday night will fall on the race for second place. Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman are in a battle to woo late-deciding independent voters to their cause. "We're going to surprise the world," Huntsman said at his final campaign rally Monday night in Exeter, N.H.
Here are five things to watch as the returns begin to come in:
Geography
John McCain bested Mitt Romney in the New Hampshire primary by 5.5 percentage points in 2008, but he did so without winning the state's two most populous counties. Romney edged out McCain in Hillsborough County (Manchester and Nashua) and in Rockingham County (the southern tier of New Hampshire, heading East across the Massachusetts border towards Portsmouth on the coast).
Watch to see how much Romney is able to run up the score in these two counties. If he is not substantially beating his competition across this region, it will likely set off some alarm bells inside his campaign.
The Huntsman campaign is carefully watching what one adviser described as "the reverse L." Huntsman is seeking to swell his support along the Maine border and across the state to the West. Pay close attention to Merrimack County (home to Concord) to see if the much-buzzed-about Huntsman momentum is being realized in votes.
There are lots of college towns dotting the New Hampshire landscape, and those towns are likely to be at the heart of Ron Paul's support (Durham in the East, Keene in the West).
Independents
Much is always written about independent voters, especially here in New Hampshire where they make up nearly 41 percent of the 767,383 registered voters. In 2008, undeclared (that's what they call them here) voters made up 34 percent of the Republican primary electorate. McCain won 38 percent of them versus Romney's 30 percent.
Without a competitive Democratic contest to lure some of those independents, they are expected to make up an even greater share of the Republican electorate this time around. If Romney underperforms his 2008 take, that may be good news for Jon Huntsman, who is hoping to ride a wave of independent support to a surprising and strong second place showing.
However, independents alone cannot deliver a victory in the Republican primary. Watch to see if Romney improves upon the 33 percent share among registered Republicans he garnered in 2008.
Late deciders
Four years ago, 39 percent of Republican primary voters in New Hampshire made up their mind about which candidate to support in the final 72 hours of the campaign. That's a huge swath of the vote and the last three days have not been kind to Mitt Romney.
Late deciders will be critical in determining Romney's final number tonight. The news coverage in the closing days has been all about the attacks coming from his opponents on Romney's Bain record and his authenticity. His made-for-TV moment where he stated how he loves firing people who provide subpar services only adds to a late decider's voting calculus.
Catholics
Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, the two candidates best positioned to wear the mantle of the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney, also happen to be the two Catholics (one by conversion) in the race.
There is a huge Catholic population in the Manchester area, but be careful about equating this religious group as socially conservative. New Hampshire Catholics tend to operate a bit more like swing voters than as voters who simply look to support the most faithful Catholic in the race. These are very different voters than the evangelical Christian bloc in Iowa.
Catholics made up 38 percent of the Republican primary electorate in 2008 and McCain and Romney split them evenly. Roughly one-third of those Catholics said they went to church weekly.
Although Santorum's social conservatism may not be the best match for the New Hampshire Catholic Republican voter, if he can win over a significant slice of these voters, it could help him gain back some of his momentum, which has greatly dissipated since his huge night in Iowa last week.
Message
Make sure to watch the candidates' speeches to their supporters. If Huntsman does surge to second place, how will he lay the groundwork for moving forward to South Carolina? If Ron Paul places third again, will he offer up any indication about how he plans to crack that 20 percent ceiling of his?
Most important, watch to see if Romney takes his opportunity in the spotlight to get his campaign back on message and on course. He squandered his moment in Iowa by reverting to his traditional stump speech. If he emerges with a strong victory, he will have another big chance before a national audience to push back on the "corporate raider/out of touch CEO" message frame that his Republican (and potential Democratic) opponents have been building around his candidacy.
And Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum's comments will likely be a preview of the intense and more negative campaign awaiting the candidates in South Carolina.
In 2005, Santorum repeatedly demanded that Schiavo be kept alive against the wishes of her husband. "We need to do something to stop this unconscionable act on the part of the Florida Court," he said. "Terri Schiavo is a daughter, a sister, and most importantly, a person. We cannot allow an innocent person to be put to death." Santorum even used his position as a US senator to get Congress to subpoena the judge in the case. (The judge ignored Congress.) And most memorably, Santorum paid a visit Schiavo in the hospital when all the nation was watching—a visit, it turned out, made possible by Walmart's private jet and coinciding with a fundraiser of Santorum's.
To this day, Santorum defends his support for preserving Schiavo's life. "What I cared about with Terri Schiavo was that a judge looked at the case fairly, and they did," he recently told CNN. "And they made their decision."
But a poll by the Augusta Chronicle showed Romney with 23 percent support, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 21 percent. The poll's 3.6 percent margin of error put them in a virtual tie.
A survey last week by the Democratic-affiliated Public Policy Polling had Romney ahead of Gingrich by 7 points.
In New Hampshire, Romney won 39 percent of the vote, outpacing Ron Paul, a U.S. congressman from Texas known for libertarian views who came in second with 23 percent. He was followed by Jon Huntsman, a moderate former U.S. ambassador to China and former governor of Utah who had focused his campaign on New Hampshire. Huntsman won 17 percent.
The republican race is still six people and the trend now is to knock Mitt Romney out.
Rick Perry is for show and promoting the Tea Party agenda and dogma. Mitt Romney portrays himself as a cool man and above the fray. Rick Santorum is rising from the dead and showing lot of momentum and energy as relatively young man. Mitt Romney is not blessed by many quarters of the Republican party and unhappy because in their view he is not very orthodox conservative.
Iran is causing lot of worries to Obama and western Europe because of her suspicious neuclear program some of the facilities are hidden under high mountains.
MANCHESTER, N.H.--The polls heading into primary day in New Hampshire show a slight decline in support for Mitt Romney over the last several days, but not on a scale that puts his likely victory in any jeopardy.
If Romney's distance to his closest competitors remains what it has been in the latest polls, the Associated Press and the television networks will likely be able to project Romney the winner at 8 p.m. ET, when the last voters in the state cast their ballots.
Most of the attention on Tuesday night will fall on the race for second place. Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman are in a battle to woo late-deciding independent voters to their cause. "We're going to surprise the world," Huntsman said at his final campaign rally Monday night in Exeter, N.H.
Here are five things to watch as the returns begin to come in:
Geography
John McCain bested Mitt Romney in the New Hampshire primary by 5.5 percentage points in 2008, but he did so without winning the state's two most populous counties. Romney edged out McCain in Hillsborough County (Manchester and Nashua) and in Rockingham County (the southern tier of New Hampshire, heading East across the Massachusetts border towards Portsmouth on the coast).
Watch to see how much Romney is able to run up the score in these two counties. If he is not substantially beating his competition across this region, it will likely set off some alarm bells inside his campaign.
The Huntsman campaign is carefully watching what one adviser described as "the reverse L." Huntsman is seeking to swell his support along the Maine border and across the state to the West. Pay close attention to Merrimack County (home to Concord) to see if the much-buzzed-about Huntsman momentum is being realized in votes.
There are lots of college towns dotting the New Hampshire landscape, and those towns are likely to be at the heart of Ron Paul's support (Durham in the East, Keene in the West).
Independents
Much is always written about independent voters, especially here in New Hampshire where they make up nearly 41 percent of the 767,383 registered voters. In 2008, undeclared (that's what they call them here) voters made up 34 percent of the Republican primary electorate. McCain won 38 percent of them versus Romney's 30 percent.
Without a competitive Democratic contest to lure some of those independents, they are expected to make up an even greater share of the Republican electorate this time around. If Romney underperforms his 2008 take, that may be good news for Jon Huntsman, who is hoping to ride a wave of independent support to a surprising and strong second place showing.
However, independents alone cannot deliver a victory in the Republican primary. Watch to see if Romney improves upon the 33 percent share among registered Republicans he garnered in 2008.
Late deciders
Four years ago, 39 percent of Republican primary voters in New Hampshire made up their mind about which candidate to support in the final 72 hours of the campaign. That's a huge swath of the vote and the last three days have not been kind to Mitt Romney.
Late deciders will be critical in determining Romney's final number tonight. The news coverage in the closing days has been all about the attacks coming from his opponents on Romney's Bain record and his authenticity. His made-for-TV moment where he stated how he loves firing people who provide subpar services only adds to a late decider's voting calculus.
Catholics
Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, the two candidates best positioned to wear the mantle of the conservative alternative to Mitt Romney, also happen to be the two Catholics (one by conversion) in the race.
There is a huge Catholic population in the Manchester area, but be careful about equating this religious group as socially conservative. New Hampshire Catholics tend to operate a bit more like swing voters than as voters who simply look to support the most faithful Catholic in the race. These are very different voters than the evangelical Christian bloc in Iowa.
Catholics made up 38 percent of the Republican primary electorate in 2008 and McCain and Romney split them evenly. Roughly one-third of those Catholics said they went to church weekly.
Although Santorum's social conservatism may not be the best match for the New Hampshire Catholic Republican voter, if he can win over a significant slice of these voters, it could help him gain back some of his momentum, which has greatly dissipated since his huge night in Iowa last week.
Message
Make sure to watch the candidates' speeches to their supporters. If Huntsman does surge to second place, how will he lay the groundwork for moving forward to South Carolina? If Ron Paul places third again, will he offer up any indication about how he plans to crack that 20 percent ceiling of his?
Most important, watch to see if Romney takes his opportunity in the spotlight to get his campaign back on message and on course. He squandered his moment in Iowa by reverting to his traditional stump speech. If he emerges with a strong victory, he will have another big chance before a national audience to push back on the "corporate raider/out of touch CEO" message frame that his Republican (and potential Democratic) opponents have been building around his candidacy.
And Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum's comments will likely be a preview of the intense and more negative campaign awaiting the candidates in South Carolina.
In 2005, Santorum repeatedly demanded that Schiavo be kept alive against the wishes of her husband. "We need to do something to stop this unconscionable act on the part of the Florida Court," he said. "Terri Schiavo is a daughter, a sister, and most importantly, a person. We cannot allow an innocent person to be put to death." Santorum even used his position as a US senator to get Congress to subpoena the judge in the case. (The judge ignored Congress.) And most memorably, Santorum paid a visit Schiavo in the hospital when all the nation was watching—a visit, it turned out, made possible by Walmart's private jet and coinciding with a fundraiser of Santorum's.
GOP Primary Predictor
Santorum's role in the Schiavo controversy damaged him in the eyes of voters. Polls conducted in the run-up to Santorum's 2006 reelection bid found that Pennsylvania voters opposed Congress injecting itself into the Schiavo controversy. More than a third of Pennsylvania voters in an April 2005 survey said Santorum's actions in the case made them less likely to vote for him. Santorum ended up losing to Democrat Bob Casey by a staggering 18 percentage points, the largest margin of defeat for an incumbent Republican senator in US history. Many post-mortem reports on Santorum's loss pointed to his Schiavo advocacy as a reason for his downfall.
Think you're smarter than a CNN pundit? Predict the next winner with our interactive app.
To this day, Santorum defends his support for preserving Schiavo's life. "What I cared about with Terri Schiavo was that a judge looked at the case fairly, and they did," he recently told CNN. "And they made their decision."
But a poll by the Augusta Chronicle showed Romney with 23 percent support, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 21 percent. The poll's 3.6 percent margin of error put them in a virtual tie.
A survey last week by the Democratic-affiliated Public Policy Polling had Romney ahead of Gingrich by 7 points.
In New Hampshire, Romney won 39 percent of the vote, outpacing Ron Paul, a U.S. congressman from Texas known for libertarian views who came in second with 23 percent. He was followed by Jon Huntsman, a moderate former U.S. ambassador to China and former governor of Utah who had focused his campaign on New Hampshire. Huntsman won 17 percent.
Sunday, January 8, 2012
Sherifview Journal January-08-2012 the Republican Primary New Hampshire
The eyes are focused now on Mitt Romney and he is regarded as the assumed Republican party nominee for 2012 presidential elections. The rest of the primaries are beauty contest for who will be the ace for number two.
But a poll by the Augusta Chronicle showed Romney with 23 percent support, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 21 percent. The poll's 3.6 percent margin of error put them in a virtual tie.
GOP candidates competing for evangelical vote in S.C.
Two Mormons, two Catholics, and two Protestants walk into a South Carolina church asking for votes.
No, it’s not a bad joke—it’s the current state of play in the pivotal South Carolina Republican primary.
Wednesday, January 4, 2012
Iowa Video Winners and Losers after the Caucuses
Iowa-caucuses
http://gma.yahoo.com/video/news-26797925/tucson-shootings-1-year-later-christina-taylor-green-remembered-in-new-book-27778826.html#crsl=%252Fvideo%252Fnews-26797925%252Fyour-voice-your-vote-mitt-romney-narrowly-edges-out-rick-santorum-in-iowa-caucuses-27776855.html
winners:
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorium
Lousy Loosers down the toilet:
Fat Newt Gingrich
Scary Michelle Bachmann
http://gma.yahoo.com/video/news-26797925/tucson-shootings-1-year-later-christina-taylor-green-remembered-in-new-book-27778826.html#crsl=%252Fvideo%252Fnews-26797925%252Fyour-voice-your-vote-mitt-romney-narrowly-edges-out-rick-santorum-in-iowa-caucuses-27776855.html
winners:
Mitt Romney
Rick Santorium
Lousy Loosers down the toilet:
Fat Newt Gingrich
Scary Michelle Bachmann
Sherifview Journal January-04-2011 Perry and Bachmann out
After the Iowa Caucus on January-03-2011 the Republican presidential have narrowed substantially with Rick Perry the nuts out and Michelle Bachman that can get under your skin booted out.
Miserable Newt Gingrich the arrogant is badly bruised.
Miserable Newt Gingrich the arrogant is badly bruised.
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